emerging and re-emerging disease

basically, anything we’re worried about

Do we need to understand everything?

How do we understand? How do we predict?

Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis

Reminders

Very confusing …

tipping point hypothesis: in populations all the time, but something happened to increase virulence/reduce tolerance or resistance

novel pathogen hypothesis: mutation/speciation + dispersal

monkeypox

climate change

dilution effect (Keesing & Ostfeld, 2021)

Kain & Bolker (2019)

Rohr et al. (2020)

prediction

Pulliam & Dushoff (2009)

Walker et al. (2018)

Han et al. (2020)

Carlson et al. (2021)

Evans et al. (2023)

MacDonald & Mordecai (2019)

References

Carlson, C. J., Bevins, S. N., & Schmid, B. V. (2021). Plague risk in the western United States over seven decades of environmental change. bioRxiv, 2021.02.26.433096. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.26.433096

Evans, T. S., Tan, C. W., Aung, O., Phyu, S., Lin, H., Coffey, L. L., Toe, A. T., Aung, P., Aung, T. H., Aung, N. T., Weiss, C. M., Thant, K. Z., Htun, Z. T., Murray, S., Wang, L.-F., Johnson, C. K., & Thu, H. M. (2023). Exposure to diverse sarbecoviruses indicates frequent zoonotic spillover in human communities interacting with wildlife. International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2023.02.015

Han, B. A., O’Regan, S. M., Paul Schmidt, J., & Drake, J. M. (2020). Integrating data mining and transmission theory in the ecology of infectious diseases. Ecology Letters, 23(8), 1178–1188. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13520

Kain, M. P., & Bolker, B. M. (2019). Predicting West Nile virus transmission in North American bird communities using phylogenetic mixed effects models and eBird citizen science data. Parasites & Vectors, 12(1), 395. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-019-3656-8

Keesing, F., & Ostfeld, R. S. (2021). Dilution effects in disease ecology. Ecology Letters, 24(11), 2490–2505. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13875

MacDonald, A. J., & Mordecai, E. A. (2019). Amazon deforestation drives malaria transmission, and malaria burden reduces forest clearing. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(44), 22212–22218. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1905315116

Pounds, A. J., Bustamante, M. R., Coloma, L. A., Consuegra, J. A., Fogden, M. P. L., Foster, P. N., La Marca, E., Masters, K. L., Merino-Viteri, A., Puschendorf, R., Ron, S. R., Sánchez-Azofeifa, G. A., Still, C. J., & Young, B. E. (2006). Widespread amphibian extinctions from epidemic disease driven by global warming. Nature, 439(7073), 161–167. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature04246

Pulliam, J. R. C., & Dushoff, J. (2009). Ability to Replicate in the Cytoplasm Predicts Zoonotic Transmission of Livestock Viruses. The Journal of Infectious Diseases, 199(4), 565–568. https://doi.org/10.1086/596510

Rohr, J. R., Civitello, D. J., Halliday, F. W., Hudson, P. J., Lafferty, K. D., Wood, C. L., & Mordecai, E. A. (2020). Towards common ground in the biodiversity–disease debate. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 4(1), 24–33. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-019-1060-6

Rohr, J. R., & Raffel, T. R. (2010). Linking global climate and temperature variability to widespread amphibian declines putatively caused by disease. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(18), 8269–8274. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0912883107

Rohr, J. R., Raffel, T. R., Romansic, J. M., McCallum, H., & Hudson, P. J. (2008). Evaluating the links between climate, disease spread, and amphibian declines. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105(45), 17436–17441. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0806368105

Walker, J. W., Han, B. A., Ott, I. M., & Drake, J. M. (2018). Transmissibility of emerging viral zoonoses. PLOS ONE, 13(11), e0206926. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0206926


Last updated: 2023-04-03 13:16:19.777384